Pin-point horses with outstanding winning chances at a glance with our exclusive Form Ratings.
Find below a typical example of our ratings that show Who Owns Me with clear top ratings for Last Run + Speed + Total Rating figures. You will find around 2 to 4 of these types of selections daily on average.
|Mon 10th Dec 2012 2.30 Fakenham (10 runners)|
|Handicap Hurdle Class 4, 2m , Soft, 4yo+, Win: £4874|
|1||Who Owns Me (IRE)||6||105||21||25||182||32||10||224||11/4|
|10||The Good Guy (IRE)||9||80||19||21||151||31||9||192||6/1|
|5||Nez Rouge (FR)||11||60||46||20||155||20||7||185||8/1|
|3||Oscars Secret (IRE)||5||70||35||17||153||0||4||158||8/1|
|9||Occasionally Yours (IRE)||8||61||26||14||128||21||7||157||12/1|
|4||Phare Isle (IRE)||7||44||22||12||119||25||11||156||14/1|
|6||Jive Master (IRE)||7||44||26||10||105||0||5||113||10/1|
Note the outstanding Last Run rating figure of 105 that’s a good +15 higher than the next best rated along with a good +27 difference for the Total Rating. These “outstanding” selections appear around 3 or 4 times per week for backing with confidence for a winning strike rate of aprox 60%+
Result: Who Owns Me Won 7/2
Below is another example (Bet of the week with an amazing +33 points clear for LR figures, clear top rated speed and +23 Total ratings)
|Sun 18th Nov 2012 3.20 Punchestown (10 runners)|
|Handicap Hurdle (0-140) Class 5, 2m , Heavy, 4yo+, Win: £14626|
|4||Beef To The Heels(IRE)||6||120||39||12||213||73||1||5||6||298||4/1|
|3||Dul Ar An Ol|
Result: Beef To The Heels Won 4/1
What the columns mean:
Age = Age (no surprises there, then!)
LR = The Horse’s rating for its last race, after applying our secret formula.
2LR = The Horse’s rating for its last two races, after applying our secret formula.
3LR = The Horse’s rating for its last three races, after applying our secret formula.
9LR = This is the TOTAL race ratings for the last 9 races
Spd = This is the average speed ratings for the horse over the last 9 races, after applying our secret formula.
Fnsh = This is the horse’s last (?) finishing position, taking into account the jockey, trainer, distance, when last run, and many more factors.
Total = This is the combined total of all ratings after applying our secret formula, to give a total score.
All of the ratings include our unique formula, which is rather like a popular American Fried Chicken product’s “secret blend of herbs and spices”, only instead of some oregano and 15 different types of salt, our formula includes: the jockey, track, distance, races won, races placed, races lost, how many lengths lost/won by, and many more.
Guide To Our Ratings
The secret to successful betting is cutting out the losers. If you have patience and wait for the outstanding, clear top rated selections then you’ll be richly rewarded.
The main ratings on the tables to concentrate on are;
- Total Rating figure. This is obviously the totals of all the ratings listed plus a few that are not. [On average 25%-28% of all Total top rated win]
- The last run figure (LR). This is derived from 100’s of separate factors and equations including class, weight, official ratings and so on. It’s not a bare single figure such as speed etc.[On average 20%-24% of all last run top rated win]
- Speed figure (Spd). This takes into account the best total speed, best from last 3 races, with more emphasis on it’s last race and best average for all previous races. [On average 17%-20% of all Top rated speed selections win]
Taking note of the winning percentages. The Total Rating figure is the main figure to concentrate on.
If you back every top rated selection using Betfair’s SP you will make a profit each month! (This can vary from just 1 or 2 points profit up to 80+ points)
If you wait for the top rated selections that are clear top rated for all 3 then you have a good potential winning selection (or place depending on the price).
Ones that have a good difference in their ratings from the next best rating have an even greater chance.Smart Members are provided with all selections each day that are +39 points clear (Total Rating figures regardless of Last Run & Speed figures) and win around 50% of their races.
Depending on the days racing, time of year etc – you might have 3 or 4 selections a day, or 2 to 3 per week. This also depends on what difference/class of race/price and so on that you personally want to wait for.
For example, you might want to only back selections that are a minimum +10 difference for LR, +5 for speed & +25 for the total rating in exposed non handicap races of class 4 and above with a minimum SP of 3/1
If you also want a consistently good strike rate and potentially take your Betfair place bets to the next level then back them for a place. (8+ runners)
Getting the best from the ratings:
Take note of the tips from our 7 Top Tips For Finding Winners Page. Concentrate on top or 2nd top rated horses that tick all the boxes for the 7 tips in exposed races and you’ll find plenty of decent winners every week!